Oscar Betting 2024: Odds, Favourites, and Predictions
The Oscars awards ceremonies are held annually at the Dolby Theatre in Los Angeles. The statuettes are awarded in several dozen nominations and categories: Best Picture, Best Actor, Best Soundtrack, Best Supporting Actor, Best Cinematography, Best Director, etc. This selection will help you know which UK operators offer odds and where you can bet on these awards.
Betting on Best Picture
The Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences’ selection of nominees for Best Picture isn’t always clear to the casual viewer, but in any case, the Oscars draw attention to films and contribute to their growing popularity. The current betting odds are as follows:
Picture | Odds | Bookie |
---|---|---|
Oppenheimer | 1/12 | 10bet |
Poor Things | 11/1 | Copybet |
The Holdovers | 16/1 | Mr Play |
Anatomy of a Fall | 20/1 | Sky Bet |
Killers of the Flower Moon | 25/1 | Betway |
The Zone of Interest | 28/1 | NetBet |
Barbie | 40/1 | VBET |
American Fiction | 50/1 | Betfair |
Past Lives | 80/1 | BoyleSports |
Since the 2000s, the Best Picture Oscars have most often been awarded to a film that won the Film Critics Award for Best Picture: 15 matches. If you follow this logic, the highest chances of winning are currently with the bookmakers’ favorite — Oppenheimer (odds of 1/12).
Oppenheimer
The true story of the life of American theoretical physicist Robert Oppenheimer, who led the Manhattan Project — the secret developments of nuclear weapons — during World War II. The film has already received the Golden Globe Award for Best Drama and the “Film Critics’ Choice” Award for Best Picture. Therefore, Oppenheimer has every chance of winning an Oscar in the Best Picture category in 2024.
The Holdovers
A Christmas dramedy by director Alexander Payne, “The Holdovers” tells the story of an arrogant history professor at a boarding school in New England who is forced to stay at the school during the Christmas holidays with some students. The film has won over the hearts of film critics and received numerous awards at the Golden Globes. Therefore, “The Holdovers” also has all the chances of winning an Oscar in 2024.
Poor Things
The film depicts the events of a young woman who commits suicide by drowning in a river because of her cruel husband. In turn, an eccentric scientist decides to save the woman and transplants the brain of his own unborn son into her. This film has less chance of winning compared to Oppenheimer, as indicated by the odds.
Killers of the Flower Moon
Martin Scorsese’s work recounts a series of murders of Native Americans that took place in Osage County, Oklahoma, in the years 1910 to 1930. The lead roles were played by Leonardo DiCaprio and Robert De Niro.
Barbie
A fantasy comedy starring Margot Robbie and Ryan Gosling. It is based on the Barbie toy series and tells the story of Barbie and Ken, who embark on a journey from Barbie Land to the real world to solve existential issues.
Anatomy of a Fall
In the plot of this French film, the protagonist, a German writer, is suspected of the murder of her husband. The only witness to the crime is her blind son, who begins to doubt his mother’s innocence.
The Zone of Interest
The work of director Jonathan Glazer tells the story of a wealthy German family who built their prosperity at the expense of murdering Jews in the Auschwitz extermination camp in Poland.
American Fiction
Critiqued for the lack of “blackness” in his works, writer and professor Thelonious “Monk” Ellison anonymously writes a novel full of stereotypes about African Americans in the USA. The book quickly becomes a sensation, and Monk must confront its consequences.
Past Lives
Movie directed by Celine Son. The protagonist is Korean Nora Moon, who in her childhood was in love with her best friend, but then suddenly left her hometown. After 20 years, her first love reappears in her life, and Nora Moon will have to understand what they mean to each other.
Betting on Best Actor
The main individual award in the world of cinema. It’s like the Ballon d’Or in football: you’re already a superstar, but the coveted statuette takes you to the top. Now, five actors have good chances of winning, if we look at the odds. According to UK bookmakers like 10bet or Copybet, there’s a clear favorite with lower odds:
Actor | Odds | Bookie |
---|---|---|
Cillian Murphy (Oppenheimer) | 2/7 | 10bet |
Paul Giamatti (The Holdovers) | 12/5 | Copybet |
Bradley Cooper (Maestro) | 21/2 | Mr Play |
Colman Domingo (Rustin) | 50/1 | Parimatch |
Jeffrey Wright (American Fiction) | 80/1 | NetBet |
In 2024, film critics recognized Paul Giamatti as the best actor. According to logic, this actor should be the most likely to win the Oscar. However, according to betting sites, the clear favorite is Cillian Murphy for Oppenheimer, with odds of 2/7.
Cillian Murphy
The Irish actor, known to many for his role in the BBC series Peaky Blinders, is considered the leading candidate to win in this category for his role in the film Oppenheimer, as all UK betting sites give him preference.
Paul Giamatti
The American actor is nominated for his role in the film “The Holdovers”. Giamatti has a long career; he has acted in many films and many believed his nomination for the main award was only a matter of time. Additionally, Giamatti has already won three Golden Globe Awards in 2009, 2011, and 2024. He also won in the “Film Critics’ Choice” category for the film “The Holdovers”, but bookies do not consider him the direct favorite.
Bradley Cooper
American actor. He has been nominated 12 times for the Oscar, but has never won. His career had a breakthrough between 2011 and 2013, with the release of three works he participated in: “The Hangover”, “Limitless”, and “Silver Linings Playbook”. In 2024, Cooper is nominated for his role in the film “Maestro”. However, it is unlikely that he will win this time.
Jeffrey Wright
American actor. Winner of Tony, Emmy, and Golden Globe Awards. Jeffrey Wright gained recognition in his acting career for the series “Angels in America”, in which he acted in the period 1993-1994 and in 2003. He is nominated for his role in the film “American Fiction”.
Colman Domingo
The 54-year-old American actor has been acting in films for almost 30 years. He is best known for his roles in “Lincoln” (2012), “Selma” (2014), and “If Beale Street Could Talk” (2018), as well as for his role as Victor Strand in the television series “Fear the Walking Dead”.
Betting on Best Actress
Just like for men, the Oscar for Best Actress is considered the pinnacle and peak of any actress’s career. Some of them, far from being the most famous, managed to win the award more than once, like Francis McDormand. The favorites and the best odds in the Best Actress category in 2024 are presented in the table:
Actress | Odds | Bookie |
---|---|---|
Emma Stone (Poor Things) | 2/5 | 10bet |
Lily Gladstone (Killers of the Flower Moon) | 7/4 | Copybet |
Sandra Huller (Anatomy of a Fall) | 141/10 | Mr Play |
Carey Mulligan (Maestro) | 22/1 | Parimatch |
Annette Bening (Nyad) | 50/1 | NetBet |
If we look at the statistics, on 15 occasions the choice of film critics has coincided with who actually received the award. This year, film critics have given their preference to Emma Stone for her performance in “Poor Things”. Additionally, Emma Stone already won the Golden Globe for Best Actress for this film. For all these reasons, she is the favorite among betting sites.
Emma Stone
At 35, Emma Stone has already been awarded numerous prizes. She also won an Oscar in 2017 for her role in the film “La La Land”. But she is mainly known to the general public for her portrayal of Gwen Stacy in the comic book movie “The Amazing Spider-Man”.
Lily Gladstone
American actress. She made her film debut in 2012 in the film “Jimmy P.” In 2024, she has already won the Golden Globe for Best Actress for her role in the film “Killers of the Flower Moon”. According to betting sites, she has good chances of winning with odds of 7/4.
Carey Mulligan
English actress Carey Mulligan has been nominated for an Oscar for the third time (2010, 2021, 2023). She has a considerable list of films in her career but has not managed to win an award. Again this year, bookmakers do not predict success for her in the “Best Actress” category.
Sandra Huller
German actress, best known for her role in the film “Requiem”. She also starred in the film “Toni Erdmann” in 2016. In 2024, she is nominated for the first time for her role in the film “Anatomy of a Fall”.
Anette Bening
Annette Bening is the most experienced actress on this list of nominees. She began her acting career in 1986. She has been nominated for the Oscar 4 times but has never won. It is very likely that in 2024 she will not receive this award either. According to sportsbooks, the average odds for her victory are 50/1.
Betting on Best Director
Another nomination in the “big” category. The work as a director is an indicator of the quality of any film. Since 2010, the winner of the Golden Globe has received the Oscar for Best Director on 6 occasions. Additionally, very often the choice of film critics coincides with who receives the award. Let’s get to know the main candidates:
Director | Odds | Bookie |
---|---|---|
Christopher Nolan (Oppenheimer) | 1/50 | 10bet |
Yorgos Lanthimos (Poor Things) | 12/1 | Copybet |
Justine Triet (Anatomy of a Fall) | 25/1 | NetBet |
Martin Scorsese (Killers of the Flower Moon) | 27/1 | Mr Play |
Jonathan Glazer (The Zone of Interest) | 40/1 | Parimatch |
In 2024, Christopher Nolan was named the best director by film critics and also won the Golden Globe for his film “Oppenheimer”. Among bookmakers, this British director is considered the absolute favorite to receive the Oscar statuette with odds of 1/50.
Christopher Nolan
He is one of the most well-known and influential filmmakers in Hollywood. As early as 2000, his second work, “Memento”, was nominated for the Oscar for Best Original Screenplay. He also directed “The Dark Knight” trilogy (2005-2012), “Inception” (2010), and many others. In 2024, he is once again nominated for the award for the film “Oppenheimer” and has all the chances of obtaining the coveted statuette.
Yorgos Lanthimos
Greek director. He has been nominated for the Oscar 6 times but has never won. In 2021, Yorgos Lanthimos began working on the film “Poor Things”, for which he subsequently received the Golden Lion award at the 2023 Venice Film Festival. This year, he is the main rival of Christopher Nolan in the fight for the award, but it seems that he will not win. His winning odds is 12/1.
Justine Triet
French director and producer. She has relatively few cinematic works, and the film “Anatomy of a Fall” is the most successful of them. At the 76th Cannes Film Festival, she received the Palme d’Or and was nominated for the Oscar.
Martin Scorsese
One of the greatest contemporary film directors has once again made a brilliant film. “Killers of the Flower Moon” was nominated for the Oscar, but it is very likely that the legendary director will not receive the coveted statuette for the second time.
Jonathan Glazer
British film director and music video director. He has directed only 4 films in the last 23 years that have not received any awards. This year, he is nominated for the Oscar for Best Director for the film “The Zone of Interest”, but betting sites do not predict his success.
Betting on Best Original Screenplay
Awarded for a screenplay of films that is not based on any previously published material (book, legend, comic). The Oscar was first awarded in 1941 and has since been considered an integral part of the event. Below are listed all potential winners in this category:
Picture | Odds | Bookie |
---|---|---|
Anatomy of a Fall | 4/9 | 10bet |
The Holdovers | 7/4 | Copybet |
Past Lives | 12/1 | NetBet |
May December | 28/1 | Parimatch |
Maestro | 40/1 | Mr Play |
Betting on Best Adapted Screenplay
Awarded for a screenplay written based on a literary work, a television program, or other films. This award was one of those given at the first ceremony in 1929, and to this day it maintains its status. Odds for the winner of Best Adapted Screenplay:
Picture | Odds | Bookie |
---|---|---|
American Fiction | 1/1 | 10bet |
Oppenheimer | 7/4 | Copybet |
Barbie | 13/2 | NetBet |
Poor Things | 91/10 | Mr Play |
The Zone of Interest | 22/1 | Parimatch |
Betting on Best Original Song
Awarded annually since 1935. A mandatory requirement for the composition is the presence not only of music but also of lyrics. Exclusivity is also important. Only a song that was first heard in the movie can claim the Oscar for Best Original Song. In this case, compositions heard during the credits are also considered. No more than two movie soundtracks can be nominated.